Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 69.004633 77.721048 86.679803 96.545604 107.075626 117.950011 130.000538
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 55.413378 67.850048 81.254395 96.651608 113.729465 131.979905 152.847757
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 47.641897 62.147670 78.339700 97.498865 119.307220 143.136744 170.925221
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 40.651395 56.340070 74.435704 96.426271 122.028930 150.536084 184.324769
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 36.399393 53.197990 73.126366 97.886313 127.243157 160.419334 200.240258
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 33.086731 50.813487 72.391548 99.734236 132.670387 170.365521 216.090952
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 28.963251 46.995414 69.569186 98.775327 134.536368 175.993889 226.817790
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 24.805624 42.736390 65.865009 96.440861 134.503522 179.196045 234.555947
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 23.525744 42.234515 66.858176 99.874180 141.414534 190.586926 251.892551
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 22.007698 41.252109 67.113629 102.288784 147.017464 200.387411 267.348880
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 19.407297 38.485139 64.815763 101.274935 148.244320 204.832136 276.373036
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 17.048628 35.855565 62.529843 100.127660 149.183920 208.838543 284.805253
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 15.307201 34.041547 61.295081 100.333060 151.847924 215.006385 295.943705
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 13.741049 32.358913 60.141431 100.569862 154.504173 221.145423 307.055597
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 12.502700 31.089848 59.492363 101.420307 157.903638 228.177126 319.244747
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 10.882689 28.997218 57.504453 100.323683 158.681520 231.878390 327.315165
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 10.049171 28.206501 57.407484 101.819413 162.847681 239.830268 340.630041
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 9.377145 27.642630 57.612593 103.712684 167.529127 248.436386 354.773222
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 8.148269 25.880411 55.856408 102.730303 168.306725 252.043762 362.683840
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 6.777795 23.641504 53.204146 100.338338 167.091674 253.035462 367.276852
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 6.618659 23.897946 54.588159 103.856041 173.928989 264.402853 384.914215
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 6.284569 23.740072 55.270501 106.329322 179.340689 273.944529 400.282643
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 5.398418 22.238740 53.634025 105.290901 179.879584 277.147268 407.643412